PicksRecon About

College Football Week 1 Picks & Predictions

Our pick and win probability for every game, from our own rankings, common opponents and efficiency.

Our picks, 2026
348–15269.6%
Last 7 days
41–1573.2%
When 70%+ sure
208–5280.0%

All 99 games

times ET
Final · Aer Lingus College Football Classic✗ Our pick
40North Carolina4–415
24TCU4–410
RCECompare →
Final✓ Our pick
126San José St4–526
7USC7–242
RCECompare →
Final✓ Our pick
57NC State4–48
60Virginia4–534
RCECompare →
Final✓ Our pick
93Jax State6–27
41N Dakota St7–233
RCECompare →
Final✗ Our pick
130Sacramento St2–717
105E Michigan4–528
RCECompare →
Final✓ Our pick
123Hawai'i2–627
109Stanford4–537
RCECompare →
Final✓ Our pick
124New Mexico St3–517
85Florida St3–534
RCECompare →
Final✗ Our pick
42Memphis7–227
52UNLV5–321
RCECompare →
Final✗ Our pick
116UMass4–437
131Rutgers2–621
RCECompare →
Final
Bethunenon-FBS6
11UCF4–473
No pick vs non-FBS teams
Final✓ Our pick
135Akron1–716
38Wake Forest7–138
RCECompare →
Final
Merrimacknon-FBS7
103Delaware4–442
No pick vs non-FBS teams
Final
West Georgianon-FBS0
119Kennesaw St2–647
No pick vs non-FBS teams
Final
UAlbanynon-FBS17
77Buffalo5–321
No pick vs non-FBS teams
Final
AR-Pine Bluffnon-FBS14
12Missouri6–254
No pick vs non-FBS teams
Final✗ Our pick
129Colorado3–514
75Georgia Tech2–613
RCECompare →
Final
E Illinoisnon-FBS7
55Minnesota5–359
No pick vs non-FBS teams
Final
Idahonon-FBS14
18Utah8–066
No pick vs non-FBS teams
Final✓ Our pick
108UAB4–423
25Illinois5–342
RCECompare →
Final✗ Our pick
126San José St4–527
105E Michigan4–521
RCECompare →
Final
Indiana Stnon-FBS19
47Purdue3–544
No pick vs non-FBS teams
Final
NC A&Tnon-FBS10
102Georgia St4–459
No pick vs non-FBS teams
Final✓ Our pick
137UTEP1–70
15Oklahoma4–451
RCECompare →
Final
Long Islandnon-FBS6
82Kansas3–551
No pick vs non-FBS teams
Final✗ Our pick
87Toledo6–220
84Michigan St2–630
RCECompare →
Final✓ Our pick
19Miami8–045
109Stanford4–56
RCECompare →
Final✓ Our pick
72Fresno St5–30
7USC7–239
RCECompare →
Final✓ Our pick
46North Texas6–216
28Indiana8–152
RCECompare →
Final✓ Our pick
112East Carolina4–410
4Alabama6–248
RCECompare →
Final✓ Our pick
89Oregon St5–320
29Houston6–233
RCECompare →
Final✓ Our pick
114Coastal3–524
61West Virginia5–331
RCECompare →
Final
New Hampshirenon-FBS3
98Syracuse4–466
No pick vs non-FBS teams
Final✓ Our pick
100Ohio6–221
58Nebraska5–349
RCECompare →
Final
Lafayettenon-FBS7
80UConn4–456
No pick vs non-FBS teams
Final
Bryantnon-FBS3
71Army5–359
No pick vs non-FBS teams
Final
Tarleton Stnon-FBS20
122Bowling Green2–713
No pick vs non-FBS teams
Final✓ Our pick
56Liberty7–113
35James Madison7–220
RCECompare →
Final✓ Our pick
132Ball State3–53
10Ohio State6–256
RCECompare →
Final✓ Our pick
120Miami OH5–314
39Pitt6–359
RCECompare →
Final✓ Our pick
127Kent State3–60
5South Carolina5–357
RCECompare →
Final
Youngstown Stnon-FBS13
36Kentucky7–145
No pick vs non-FBS teams
Final
SE Missourinon-FBS10
70Iowa State4–438
No pick vs non-FBS teams
Final
Duquesnenon-FBS0
69Air Force6–234
No pick vs non-FBS teams
Final
Rhode Islandnon-FBS14
97Temple2–638
No pick vs non-FBS teams
Final
Tennessee Stnon-FBS3
8Georgia7–163
No pick vs non-FBS teams
Final✓ Our pick
37Boise St7–127
14Oregon5–334
RCECompare →
Final✓ Our pick
68Texas St4–47
3Texas6–259
RCECompare →
Final✓ Our pick
110Marshall5–30
48Penn State4–445
RCECompare →
Final
Furmannon-FBS9
6Tennessee6–256
No pick vs non-FBS teams
Final · Aflac Kickoff✓ Our pick
22Baylor5–316
9Auburn4–417
RCECompare →
Final✓ Our pick
78Boston College4–415
30Cincinnati5–334
RCECompare →
Final✓ Our pick
66Tulane4–43
53Duke6–217
RCECompare →
Final/3OT
The Citadelnon-FBS43
128Charlotte1–741
No pick vs non-FBS teams
Final
Towsonnon-FBS15
74Navy2–642
No pick vs non-FBS teams
Final
UT Rio Grandenon-FBS16
45UTSA7–145
No pick vs non-FBS teams
Final
Fordhamnon-FBS0
41N Dakota St7–238
No pick vs non-FBS teams
Final
Mainenon-FBS3
54App State5–355
No pick vs non-FBS teams
Final✓ Our pick
20Oklahoma St5–310
26Tulsa4–424
RCECompare →
Final✓ Our pick
138N Illinois0–80
27Iowa6–240
RCECompare →
Final
North Alabamanon-FBS14
34Arkansas3–531
No pick vs non-FBS teams
Final
Alcorn Stnon-FBS3
106Southern Miss3–549
No pick vs non-FBS teams
Final✓ Our pick
65Wyoming5–313
91Colorado St3–535
RCECompare →
Final
Norfolk Stnon-FBS10
101Old Dominion2–731
No pick vs non-FBS teams
Final✓ Our pick
125Missouri St3–50
63Texas A&M4–450
RCECompare →
Final
Abilene Chrstnnon-FBS10
33Texas Tech7–133
No pick vs non-FBS teams
Final
Austin Peaynon-FBS9
111Vanderbilt3–528
No pick vs non-FBS teams
Final
Nichollsnon-FBS3
88Kansas St4–471
No pick vs non-FBS teams
Final
Idaho Stnon-FBS29
92Utah State3–517
No pick vs non-FBS teams
Final✓ Our pick
117Arkansas St4–424
42Memphis7–242
RCECompare →
Final
Hou Christiannon-FBS3
133Rice1–731
No pick vs non-FBS teams
Final✓ Our pick
95FIU3–59
81South Florida6–219
RCECompare →
Final
E Kentuckynon-FBS7
93Jax State6–249
No pick vs non-FBS teams
Final
Charleston Sonon-FBS0
67GA Southern4–431
No pick vs non-FBS teams
Final
SE Louisiananon-FBS14
107South Alabama4–439
No pick vs non-FBS teams
Final✓ Our pick
136Sam Houston1–721
51Troy4–424
RCECompare →
Final✓ Our pick
96W Michigan6–312
62Michigan5–313
RCECompare →
Final✓ Our pick
113UL Monroe1–713
23Mississippi St4–462
RCECompare →
Final
VMInon-FBS3
86Virginia Tech6–273
No pick vs non-FBS teams
Final
N'Western Stnon-FBS6
83Louisiana Tech6–280
No pick vs non-FBS teams
Final✓ Our pick
94FAU5–321
1Florida5–366
RCECompare →
Final
Murray Stnon-FBS14
121MTSU4–438
No pick vs non-FBS teams
Final
Utah Technon-FBS7
13BYU7–163
No pick vs non-FBS teams
Final
Hamptonnon-FBS0
79Maryland2–662
No pick vs non-FBS teams
Final
S Dakota Stnon-FBS18
50Northwestern6–234
No pick vs non-FBS teams
Final
Lamarnon-FBS7
64Louisiana5–338
No pick vs non-FBS teams
Final
Mercyhurstnon-FBS14
124New Mexico St3–551
No pick vs non-FBS teams
Final
N Arizonanon-FBS7
31Arizona6–235
No pick vs non-FBS teams
Final
Portland Stnon-FBS20
118San Diego St4–553
No pick vs non-FBS teams
Final✓ Our pick
43Clemson5–310
16LSU6–251
RCECompare →
Final
Morgan Stnon-FBS7
90Arizona St4–470
No pick vs non-FBS teams
Final✓ Our pick
52UNLV5–321
123Hawai'i2–66
RCECompare →
Final✓ Our pick
99C Michigan3–57
44New Mexico7–138
RCECompare →
Final
Miss Valley Stnon-FBS0
130Sacramento St2–752
No pick vs non-FBS teams
Final✗ Our pick
32UCLA8–045
73California3–624
RCECompare →
Final✓ Our pick
115Western KY3–514
104Nevada3–549
RCECompare →
Final✓ Our pick
134Washington St1–810
59Washington5–324
RCECompare →
Final✓ Our pick
17Wisconsin5–313
21Notre Dame7–141
RCECompare →
Final · Liberty Mutual Music City Kickoff✓ Our pick
49Louisville5–338
2Ole Miss6–241
RCECompare →
Final✗ Our pick
76SMU6–227
85Florida St3–524
RCECompare →

Small numbers beside teams are our rankings, not the AP poll. R, C and E show whether our rankings, common opponents and efficiency agree with the pick.

Our picks in finished games here: 42–9 (82%)