Our rankings
Troy 86%
Arkansas St #117 vs Troy #51 in our rankings (network centrality).
Arkansas St vs Troy Prediction
Overall: venue ignored · using games through Oct 31, 2026
Our pick
45%51
Troy
TroyOur pick: Arkansas St, 55% to win · projected 25–23
Common opponents
Arkansas St 69%
Arkansas St by 6.5 points here, from 2 comparisons.
Efficiency
Arkansas St 58%
Projected Arkansas St 25, Troy 23 from opponent-adjusted points scored and allowed.
Arkansas St and Troy common opponents · 2
Against the same teams: Arkansas St went 1–1, Troy went 1–1. The edge compares average margins, as played.
| Opponent | Arkansas St | Troy | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
 Louisiana |
L 20–23 away, Oct 3 | L 6–33 away, Oct 17 | ARST +24.0 |
 Southern Miss |
W 23–13 away, Oct 17 | W 55–34 home, Oct 6 | TROY +11.0 |