Our rankings
SMU 53%
Florida St #85 vs SMU #76 in our rankings (network centrality).
Florida St vs SMU Prediction
Overall: venue ignored · using games through Oct 31, 2026
Our pick
85
Florida St47%
Florida St47%53%76
SMU
SMUOur pick: SMU, 53% to win · projected 29–30
Common opponents
Florida St 54%
Florida St by 1.3 points here, from 3 comparisons.
Efficiency
SMU 54%
Projected Florida St 29, SMU 30 from opponent-adjusted points scored and allowed.
Florida St vs SMU head to head this season
- Florida St L 24–27 home, Sep 7
Florida St and SMU common opponents · 2
Against the same teams: Florida St went 1–1, SMU went 1–1. The edge compares average margins, as played.
| Opponent | Florida St | SMU | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
 Virginia |
W 38–7 home, Oct 3 | W 23–13 home, Oct 17 | FSU +21.0 |
 Louisville |
L 20–44 away, Oct 9 | L 31–41 away, Sep 19 | SMU +14.0 |