Our rankings
Michigan St 51%
Michigan St #84 vs Toledo #87 in our rankings (network centrality).
Michigan St vs Toledo Prediction
Overall: venue ignored · using games through Oct 31, 2026
Our pick
55%87
Toledo
ToledoOur pick: Toledo, 55% to win · projected 24–27
Common opponents
Michigan St 76%
Michigan St by 9.0 points here, from 2 comparisons.
Efficiency
Toledo 60%
Projected Michigan St 24, Toledo 27 from opponent-adjusted points scored and allowed.
Michigan St vs Toledo head to head this season
- Michigan St W 30–20 home, Sep 4
Michigan St and Toledo common opponents · 1
Against the same teams: Michigan St went 1–0, Toledo went 1–0. The edge compares average margins, as played.
| Opponent | Michigan St | Toledo | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
 E Michigan |
W 35–7 home, Sep 12 | W 34–14 away, Oct 17 | MSU +8.0 |