Our rankings
SMU 53%
SMU #76 vs Florida St #85 in our rankings (network centrality).
Overall: venue ignored · using games through Oct 31, 2026
Our pick: SMU, 53% to win · projected 30–29
SMU 53%
SMU #76 vs Florida St #85 in our rankings (network centrality).
Florida St 54%
Florida St by 1.3 points here, from 3 comparisons.
SMU 54%
Projected SMU 30, Florida St 29 from opponent-adjusted points scored and allowed.
Against the same teams: SMU went 1–1, Florida St went 1–1. The edge compares average margins, as played.
| Opponent | SMU | Florida St | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| W 23–13 home, Oct 17 | W 38–7 home, Oct 3 | FSU +21.0 | |
| L 31–41 away, Sep 19 | L 20–44 away, Oct 9 | SMU +14.0 |