Our rankings
Virginia 63%
SMU #76 vs Virginia #60 in our rankings (network centrality).
SMU vs Virginia Prediction
Overall: venue ignored · using games through Oct 31, 2026
Our pick
76
SMU67%
SMU67%33%60
Virginia
VirginiaOur pick: SMU, 67% to win · projected 26–21
Common opponents
SMU 85%
SMU by 12.7 points here, from 3 comparisons.
Efficiency
SMU 69%
Projected SMU 26, Virginia 21 from opponent-adjusted points scored and allowed.
SMU vs Virginia head to head this season
- SMU W 23–13 home, Oct 17
SMU and Virginia common opponents · 2
Against the same teams: SMU went 1–1, Virginia went 1–1. The edge compares average margins, as played.
| Opponent | SMU | Virginia | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
 Florida St |
W 27–24 away, Sep 7 | L 7–38 away, Oct 3 | SMU +34.0 |
 Syracuse |
L 27–30 away, Oct 31 | W 28–25 home, Oct 10 | UVA +6.0 |