Our rankings
Michigan St 51%
Toledo #87 vs Michigan St #84 in our rankings (network centrality).
Toledo vs Michigan St Prediction
Overall: venue ignored · using games through Oct 31, 2026
Our pick
87
Toledo55%
Toledo55%Our pick: Toledo, 55% to win · projected 27–24
Common opponents
Michigan St 76%
Michigan St by 9.0 points here, from 2 comparisons.
Efficiency
Toledo 60%
Projected Toledo 27, Michigan St 24 from opponent-adjusted points scored and allowed.
Toledo vs Michigan St head to head this season
- Toledo L 20–30 away, Sep 4
Toledo and Michigan St common opponents · 1
Against the same teams: Toledo went 1–0, Michigan St went 1–0. The edge compares average margins, as played.
| Opponent | Toledo | Michigan St | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
 E Michigan |
W 34–14 away, Oct 17 | W 35–7 home, Sep 12 | MSU +8.0 |