Our rankings
Troy 86%
Troy #51 vs Arkansas St #117 in our rankings (network centrality).
Troy vs Arkansas St Prediction
Overall: venue ignored · using games through Oct 31, 2026
Our pick
51
Troy45%
Troy45%Our pick: Arkansas St, 55% to win · projected 23–25
Common opponents
Arkansas St 69%
Arkansas St by 6.5 points here, from 2 comparisons.
Efficiency
Arkansas St 58%
Projected Troy 23, Arkansas St 25 from opponent-adjusted points scored and allowed.
Troy and Arkansas St common opponents · 2
Against the same teams: Troy went 1–1, Arkansas St went 1–1. The edge compares average margins, as played.
| Opponent | Troy | Arkansas St | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
 Louisiana |
L 6–33 away, Oct 17 | L 20–23 away, Oct 3 | ARST +24.0 |
 Southern Miss |
W 55–34 home, Oct 6 | W 23–13 away, Oct 17 | TROY +11.0 |