Our rankings
Toledo 68%
UMass #116 vs Toledo #87 in our rankings (network centrality).
UMass vs Toledo Prediction
Overall: venue ignored · using games through Oct 31, 2026
Our pick
Our pick: Toledo, 85% to win · projected 22–33
Common opponents
Toledo 92%
Toledo by 18.0 points here, from 2 comparisons.
Efficiency
Toledo 86%
Projected UMass 22, Toledo 33 from opponent-adjusted points scored and allowed.
UMass and Toledo common opponents · 2
Against the same teams: UMass went 0–2, Toledo went 1–1. The edge compares average margins, as played.
| Opponent | UMass | Toledo | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
 E Michigan |
L 14–38 home, Oct 3 | W 34–14 away, Oct 17 | TOL +44.0 |
 Buffalo |
L 18–25 away, Oct 17 | L 8–23 home, Oct 10 | MASS +8.0 |