PicksRecon About

FCS Football Week 1 Picks & Predictions

Our pick and win probability for every game, from our own rankings, common opponents and efficiency.

Our picks, 2026
342–12573.2%
Last 7 days
45–1377.6%
When 70%+ sure
203–4581.9%

All 158 games

times ET
Final✗ Our pick
126Maine1–821
120Towson1–818
RCECompare →
Final✗ Our pick
62Stony Brook5–434
38Delaware St5–441
RCECompare →
Final✓ Our pick
74Mercyhurst1–810
21Youngstown St7–243
RCECompare →
Final/3OT
Ohio Dominicannon-FCS42
68Morehead St2–740
No pick vs non-FCS teams
Final
Glenville Stnon-FCS7
59Elon4–542
No pick vs non-FCS teams
Final✗ Our pick
95E Illinois3–628
110Murray St1–814
RCECompare →
Final✓ Our pick
63Gardner-Webb3–617
37Austin Peay7–235
RCECompare →
Final✓ Our pick
8Charleston So4–517
92Lindenwood4–420
RCECompare →
Final
N'Western (IA)non-FCS14
39W Illinois5–465
No pick vs non-FCS teams
Final✗ Our pick
48Chattanooga6–324
75West Georgia1–810
RCECompare →
Final
UVA Wisenon-FCS37
44Presbyterian4–547
No pick vs non-FCS teams
Final
Winona Stnon-FCS9
22St Thomas7–215
No pick vs non-FCS teams
Final✗ Our pick
61Hou Christian4–534
98SE Louisiana4–528
RCECompare →
Final
Anderson (SC)non-FCS3
81Furman2–720
No pick vs non-FCS teams
Final✓ Our pick
102Miss Valley St3–610
116Nicholls3–644
RCECompare →
Final✗ Our pick
105S Illinois4–531
55West Florida4–334
RCECompare →
Final
Concordnon-FCS41
96Davidson3–635
No pick vs non-FCS teams
Final✗ Our pick
66C Arkansas2–736
90UT Martin3–624
RCECompare →
Final
SD Minesnon-FCS38
14Drake3–635
No pick vs non-FCS teams
Final✓ Our pick
124Long Island3–621
15North Dakota6–442
RCECompare →
Final
LA Christiannon-FCS42
127N'Western St0–937
No pick vs non-FCS teams
Final✓ Our pick
28Rhode Island5–434
123Merrimack4–57
RCECompare →
Final✓ Our pick
52Colgate5–424
111Fordham2–714
RCECompare →
Final✗ Our pick
108William & Mary3–635
79Villanova5–432
RCECompare →
Final✓ Our pick
70Marist4–521
112New Haven2–722
RCECompare →
Final✗ Our pick
118New Hampshire2–714
33UAlbany6–328
RCECompare →
Final✓ Our pick
47Weber St6–430
106N Colorado3–629
RCECompare →
Final✓ Our pick
3Idaho4–534
93Cal Poly4–638
RCECompare →
Final✗ Our pick
69Robert Morris4–528
82Wagner1–87
RCECompare →
Final
Fairmont Stnon-FCS20
17Dayton7–143
No pick vs non-FCS teams
Final
Georgetown KYnon-FCS23
23Butler7–227
No pick vs non-FCS teams
Final
Rooseveltnon-FCS44
34Chicago St2–728
No pick vs non-FCS teams
Final✓ Our pick
41C Connecticut5–320
43South Dakota7–359
RCECompare →
Final
Lawrence Technon-FCS13
40Valparaiso4–459
No pick vs non-FCS teams
Final✓ Our pick
85UC Davis5–431
119Portland St2–724
RCECompare →
Final✓ Our pick
42Alabama St4–430
45Southern4–517
RCECompare →
Final✓ Our pick
49Lehigh7–235
91Holy Cross4–510
RCECompare →
Final✓ Our pick
100E Washington2–727
54N Arizona7–234
RCECompare →
Final✗ Our pick
46Campbell7–249
16ETSU6–337
RCECompare →
Final
VA Lynchburgnon-FCS0
73Hampton1–845
No pick vs non-FCS teams
Final✓ Our pick
60Morgan St5–417
107NC A&T4–57
RCECompare →
Final✗ Our pick
86Bryant5–424
109Stonehill4–56
RCECompare →
Final✓ Our pick
89SE Missouri5–423
87Indiana St2–721
RCECompare →
Final
Winston-Salemnon-FCS0
26Norfolk St4–556
No pick vs non-FCS teams
Final
Savannah Stnon-FCS0
10SC State7–287
No pick vs non-FCS teams
Final✓ Our pick
125Bucknell1–814
76Richmond6–335
RCECompare →
Final✓ Our pick
128VMI0–910
78Idaho St6–338
RCECompare →
Final✓ Our pick
83The Citadel2–714
84Wofford5–442
RCECompare →
Final✓ Our pick
53Monmouth7–214
20Tennessee Tech8–138
RCECompare →
Final✗ Our pick
31NC Central4–530
94Texas Southern3–542
RCECompare →
Final✗ Our pick
57Abilene Chrstn5–414
50Lamar7–221
RCECompare →
Final✓ Our pick
103E Kentucky3–621
12W Carolina4–545
RCECompare →
Final✓ Our pick
114Samford3–610
71North Alabama5–422
RCECompare →
Final✓ Our pick
19SF Austin9–038
67McNeese4–527
RCECompare →
Final
Morehousenon-FCS15
29AR-Pine Bluff5–335
No pick vs non-FCS teams
Final
Albany Stnon-FCS7
97Florida A&M2–720
No pick vs non-FCS teams
Final
Clark (GA)non-FCS7
2Grambling4–449
No pick vs non-FCS teams
Final✓ Our pick
72Stetson1–87
11S Dakota St7–270
RCECompare →
Final · FCS Kickoff✓ Our pick
122East Texas A&M3–615
65Mercer7–223
RCECompare →
Final
St Francis ILnon-FCS0
27Illinois St7–276
No pick vs non-FCS teams
Final
Milesnon-FCS7
30Alcorn St5–456
No pick vs non-FCS teams
Final
OK Panhandlenon-FCS14
36Incarnate Word5–476
No pick vs non-FCS teams
Final · Cricket MEAC/SWAC Challenge Kickoff✓ Our pick
9Howard4–531
1Alabama A&M7–224
RCECompare →
Final
UT Prmian Basnnon-FCS0
56UT Rio Grande4–544
No pick vs non-FCS teams
Final✓ Our pick
7Jackson St6–226
115Tennessee St2–724
RCECompare →
Final✓ Our pick
101Southern Utah3–621
51Montana6–328
RCECompare →
Final✓ Our pick
80Prairie View4–530
35Tarleton St9–049
RCECompare →
Final✓ Our pick
6Montana St8–154
117Utah Tech1–80
RCECompare →
Final
KCUnon-FCS24
68Morehead St2–775
No pick vs non-FCS teams
Final
18Bethune5–46
UCFnon-FCS73
No pick vs non-FCS teams
Final
123Merrimack4–57
Delawarenon-FCS42
No pick vs non-FCS teams
Final
75West Georgia1–80
Kennesaw Stnon-FCS47
No pick vs non-FCS teams
Final
33UAlbany6–317
Buffalonon-FCS21
No pick vs non-FCS teams
Final✓ Our pick
92Lindenwood4–432
62Stony Brook5–436
RCECompare →
Final✓ Our pick
105S Illinois4–522
114Samford3–618
RCECompare →
Final
29AR-Pine Bluff5–314
Missourinon-FCS54
No pick vs non-FCS teams
Final
95E Illinois3–67
Minnesotanon-FCS59
No pick vs non-FCS teams
Final
3Idaho4–514
Utahnon-FCS66
No pick vs non-FCS teams
Final
87Indiana St2–719
Purduenon-FCS44
No pick vs non-FCS teams
Final
107NC A&T4–510
Georgia Stnon-FCS59
No pick vs non-FCS teams
Final
Franklin Piercenon-FCS18
70Marist4–527
No pick vs non-FCS teams
Final
124Long Island3–66
Kansasnon-FCS51
No pick vs non-FCS teams
Final
Webber Int'lnon-FCS10
72Stetson1–845
No pick vs non-FCS teams
Final
118New Hampshire2–73
Syracusenon-FCS66
No pick vs non-FCS teams
Final
113Lafayette3–57
UConnnon-FCS56
No pick vs non-FCS teams
Final
86Bryant5–43
Armynon-FCS59
No pick vs non-FCS teams
Final
35Tarleton St9–020
Bowling Greennon-FCS13
No pick vs non-FCS teams
Final✗ Our pick
109Stonehill4–521
112New Haven2–73
RCECompare →
Final
S Conn Stnon-FCS7
82Wagner1–831
No pick vs non-FCS teams
Final✓ Our pick
49Lehigh7–245
88Georgetown3–414
RCECompare →
Final
21Youngstown St7–213
Kentuckynon-FCS45
No pick vs non-FCS teams
Final
89SE Missouri5–410
Iowa Statenon-FCS38
No pick vs non-FCS teams
Final
58Duquesne4–40
Air Forcenon-FCS34
No pick vs non-FCS teams
Final✓ Our pick
91Holy Cross4–510
52Colgate5–435
RCECompare →
Final✓ Our pick
63Gardner-Webb3–613
84Wofford5–417
RCECompare →
Final
28Rhode Island5–414
Templenon-FCS38
No pick vs non-FCS teams
Final✓ Our pick
121Sacred Heart4–424
53Monmouth7–231
RCECompare →
Final
115Tennessee St2–73
Georgianon-FCS63
No pick vs non-FCS teams
Final✓ Our pick
14Drake3–610
51Montana6–345
RCECompare →
Final
81Furman2–79
Tennesseenon-FCS56
No pick vs non-FCS teams
Final/3OT
83The Citadel2–743
Charlottenon-FCS41
No pick vs non-FCS teams
Final
120Towson1–815
Navynon-FCS42
No pick vs non-FCS teams
Final
56UT Rio Grande4–516
UTSAnon-FCS45
No pick vs non-FCS teams
Final
111Fordham2–70
N Dakota Stnon-FCS38
No pick vs non-FCS teams
Final
126Maine1–83
App Statenon-FCS55
No pick vs non-FCS teams
Final✓ Our pick
22St Thomas7–226
15North Dakota6–462
RCECompare →
Final
71North Alabama5–414
Arkansasnon-FCS31
No pick vs non-FCS teams
Final
30Alcorn St5–43
Southern Missnon-FCS49
No pick vs non-FCS teams
Final
Tusculumnon-FCS14
16ETSU6–348
No pick vs non-FCS teams
Final✓ Our pick
59Elon4–538
96Davidson3–60
RCECompare →
Final✓ Our pick
38Delaware St5–415
108William & Mary3–622
RCECompare →
Final
W Virginia Stnon-FCS9
69Robert Morris4–529
No pick vs non-FCS teams
Final
26Norfolk St4–510
Old Dominionnon-FCS31
No pick vs non-FCS teams
Final
Elizabeth Citynon-FCS6
31NC Central4–527
No pick vs non-FCS teams
Final✓ Our pick
79Villanova5–417
125Bucknell1–816
RCECompare →
Final✓ Our pick
44Presbyterian4–53
65Mercer7–262
RCECompare →
Final
Lane Collegenon-FCS0
42Alabama St4–434
No pick vs non-FCS teams
Final✓ Our pick
20Tennessee Tech8–124
48Chattanooga6–39
RCECompare →
Final✓ Our pick
76Richmond6–328
9Howard4–521
RCECompare →
Sat 6:20 PM ET · Game postponed to 9/6Proj. 42–35
12W Carolina4–570%
46Campbell7–230%
RCECompare →
Final
57Abilene Chrstn5–410
Texas Technon-FCS33
No pick vs non-FCS teams
Final
37Austin Peay7–29
Vanderbiltnon-FCS28
No pick vs non-FCS teams
Final
116Nicholls3–63
Kansas Stnon-FCS71
No pick vs non-FCS teams
Final
78Idaho St6–329
Utah Statenon-FCS17
No pick vs non-FCS teams
Final
61Hou Christian4–53
Ricenon-FCS31
No pick vs non-FCS teams
Final✓ Our pick
34Chicago St2–77
90UT Martin3–642
RCECompare →
Final✗ Our pick
55West Florida4–342
66C Arkansas2–714
RCECompare →
Final✓ Our pick
32Northern Iowa4–424
100E Washington2–734
RCECompare →
Final
103E Kentucky3–67
Jax Statenon-FCS49
No pick vs non-FCS teams
Final
8Charleston So4–50
GA Southernnon-FCS31
No pick vs non-FCS teams
Final
Milesnon-FCS23
1Alabama A&M7–238
No pick vs non-FCS teams
Final
98SE Louisiana4–514
South Alabamanon-FCS39
No pick vs non-FCS teams
Final
Central Stnon-FCS26
2Grambling4–448
No pick vs non-FCS teams
Final
Texas Wesleyannon-FCS0
67McNeese4–552
No pick vs non-FCS teams
Final
128VMI0–93
Virginia Technon-FCS73
No pick vs non-FCS teams
Final
Edward Watersnon-FCS14
7Jackson St6–266
No pick vs non-FCS teams
Final
127N'Western St0–96
Louisiana Technon-FCS80
No pick vs non-FCS teams
Final
110Murray St1–814
MTSUnon-FCS38
No pick vs non-FCS teams
Final
117Utah Tech1–87
BYUnon-FCS63
No pick vs non-FCS teams
Final
73Hampton1–80
Marylandnon-FCS62
No pick vs non-FCS teams
Final
11S Dakota St7–218
Northwesternnon-FCS34
No pick vs non-FCS teams
Final✓ Our pick
27Illinois St7–241
39W Illinois5–410
RCECompare →
Final✓ Our pick
43South Dakota7–338
106N Colorado3–623
RCECompare →
Final
C Washingtonnon-FCS17
93Cal Poly4–624
No pick vs non-FCS teams
Final✓ Our pick
47Weber St6–442
101Southern Utah3–647
RCECompare →
Final✓ Our pick
122East Texas A&M3–67
19SF Austin9–044
RCECompare →
Final
Kentucky Stnon-FCS15
45Southern4–534
No pick vs non-FCS teams
Final
50Lamar7–27
Louisiananon-FCS38
No pick vs non-FCS teams
Final✓ Our pick
23Butler7–224
6Montana St8–151
RCECompare →
Final
74Mercyhurst1–814
New Mexico Stnon-FCS51
No pick vs non-FCS teams
Final
54N Arizona7–27
Arizonanon-FCS35
No pick vs non-FCS teams
Final
119Portland St2–720
San Diego Stnon-FCS53
No pick vs non-FCS teams
Final
60Morgan St5–47
Arizona Stnon-FCS70
No pick vs non-FCS teams
Final
102Miss Valley St3–60
Sacramento Stnon-FCS52
No pick vs non-FCS teams
Final✓ Our pick
85UC Davis5–449
77San Diego4–517
RCECompare →
Final✗ Our pick
12W Carolina4–519
46Campbell7–228
RCECompare →
Final · Labor Day Classic✓ Our pick
94Texas Southern3–514
80Prairie View4–552
RCECompare →
Final · Orange Blossom Classic✓ Our pick
10SC State7–231
97Florida A&M2–713
RCECompare →

Small numbers beside teams are our rankings, not the AP poll. R, C and E show whether our rankings, common opponents and efficiency agree with the pick.

Our picks in finished games here: 55–17 (76%)