Our rankings
Dayton 61%
Dayton #17 vs Valparaiso #40 in our rankings (network centrality).
Dayton vs Valparaiso Prediction
Overall: venue ignored · using games through Oct 31, 2026
Our pick
17
Dayton65%
Dayton65%35%40
Valparaiso
ValparaisoOur pick: Dayton, 65% to win · projected 25–20
Common opponents
Dayton 65%
Dayton by 5.8 points here, from 4 comparisons.
Efficiency
Dayton 66%
Projected Dayton 25, Valparaiso 20 from opponent-adjusted points scored and allowed.
Dayton and Valparaiso common opponents · 4
Against the same teams: Dayton went 3–1, Valparaiso went 2–2. The edge compares average margins, as played.
| Opponent | Dayton | Valparaiso | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
 San Diego |
W 37–32 home, Oct 24 | L 13–38 away, Oct 17 | DAY +30.0 |
 Drake |
L 22–30 away, Oct 3 | W 21–13 home, Oct 10 | VAL +16.0 |
 Butler |
W 19–9 away, Oct 17 | L 28–33 home, Sep 26 | DAY +15.0 |
 Morehead St |
W 56–28 home, Oct 10 | W 37–3 away, Oct 3 | VAL +6.0 |