Our rankings
North Dakota 54%
Illinois St #27 vs North Dakota #15 in our rankings (network centrality).
Overall: venue ignored · using games through Oct 31, 2026
Toss-up: Illinois St by a hair (50.9%) · projected 28–26
North Dakota 54%
Illinois St #27 vs North Dakota #15 in our rankings (network centrality).
North Dakota 71%
North Dakota by 8.5 points here, from 4 comparisons.
Illinois St 57%
Projected Illinois St 28, North Dakota 26 from opponent-adjusted points scored and allowed.
Against the same teams: Illinois St went 2–2, North Dakota went 3–1. The edge compares average margins, as played.
| Opponent | Illinois St | North Dakota | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| L 14–31 home, Oct 3 | W 21–10 home, Oct 17 | UND +28.0 | |
| W 35–14 home, Oct 31 | W 55–28 home, Oct 3 | UND +6.0 | |
| L 21–28 away, Sep 26 | L 17–24 away, Oct 10 | Even | |
| W 17–10 home, Oct 24 | W 42–35 away, Sep 26 | Even |