Our rankings
Dayton 61%
Valparaiso #40 vs Dayton #17 in our rankings (network centrality).
Valparaiso vs Dayton Prediction
Overall: venue ignored · using games through Oct 31, 2026
Our pick
40
Valparaiso35%
Valparaiso35%65%17
Dayton
DaytonOur pick: Dayton, 65% to win · projected 20–25
Common opponents
Dayton 65%
Dayton by 5.8 points here, from 4 comparisons.
Efficiency
Dayton 66%
Projected Valparaiso 20, Dayton 25 from opponent-adjusted points scored and allowed.
Valparaiso and Dayton common opponents · 4
Against the same teams: Valparaiso went 2–2, Dayton went 3–1. The edge compares average margins, as played.
| Opponent | Valparaiso | Dayton | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
 San Diego |
L 13–38 away, Oct 17 | W 37–32 home, Oct 24 | DAY +30.0 |
 Drake |
W 21–13 home, Oct 10 | L 22–30 away, Oct 3 | VAL +16.0 |
 Butler |
L 28–33 home, Sep 26 | W 19–9 away, Oct 17 | DAY +15.0 |
 Morehead St |
W 37–3 away, Oct 3 | W 56–28 home, Oct 10 | VAL +6.0 |