Our rankings
Warriors 90%
Warriors #3 vs Heat #24 in our rankings (network centrality).
Warriors vs Heat Prediction
Overall: venue ignored · using games through Nov 2, 2026
Our pick
Our pick: Warriors, 68% to win · projected 124–118
Common opponents
Warriors 94%
Warriors by 24.3 points here, from 2 comparisons.
Efficiency
Warriors 68%
Projected Warriors 124, Heat 118 from opponent-adjusted points per possession and pace.
Warriors and Heat common opponents · 2
Against the same teams: Warriors went 2–1, Heat went 0–2. The edge compares average margins, as played.
| Opponent | Warriors | Heat | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
 Timberwolves |
W 119–114 away, Oct 28 | L 106–131 home, Oct 21 | GS +30.0 |
 Lakers |
L 105–127 away, Oct 21 W 112–95 home, Oct 30 |
L 117–138 away, Nov 2 | GS +18.5 |