Our rankings
Warriors 90%
Heat #24 vs Warriors #3 in our rankings (network centrality).
Heat vs Warriors Prediction
Overall: venue ignored · using games through Nov 2, 2026
Our pick
Our pick: Warriors, 68% to win · projected 118–124
Common opponents
Warriors 94%
Warriors by 24.3 points here, from 2 comparisons.
Efficiency
Warriors 68%
Projected Heat 118, Warriors 124 from opponent-adjusted points per possession and pace.
Heat and Warriors common opponents · 2
Against the same teams: Heat went 0–2, Warriors went 2–1. The edge compares average margins, as played.
| Opponent | Heat | Warriors | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
 Timberwolves |
L 106–131 home, Oct 21 | W 119–114 away, Oct 28 | GS +30.0 |
 Lakers |
L 117–138 away, Nov 2 | L 105–127 away, Oct 21 W 112–95 home, Oct 30 |
GS +18.5 |