Our rankings
Thunder 94%
Heat #21 vs Thunder #5 in our rankings (network centrality).
Heat vs Thunder Prediction
Overall: venue ignored · using games through Nov 1, 2026
Our pick
Our pick: Thunder, 62% to win · projected 113–117
Common opponents
Heat 87%
Heat by 20.0 points here, from 1 comparison.
Efficiency
Thunder 63%
Projected Heat 113, Thunder 117 from opponent-adjusted points per possession and pace.
Heat and Thunder common opponents · 1
Against the same teams: Heat went 0–1, Thunder went 0–1. The edge compares average margins, as played.
| Opponent | Heat | Thunder | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
 Mavericks |
L 109–113 home, Oct 26 | L 96–120 away, Oct 28 | MIA +20.0 |