Our rankings
Spurs 96%
Heat #21 vs Spurs #3 in our rankings (network centrality).
Heat vs Spurs Prediction
Overall: venue ignored · using games through Nov 1, 2026
Our pick
Our pick: Spurs, 74% to win · projected 116–124
Common opponents
Spurs 96%
Spurs by 27.5 points here, from 2 comparisons.
Efficiency
Spurs 74%
Projected Heat 116, Spurs 124 from opponent-adjusted points per possession and pace.
Heat and Spurs common opponents · 2
Against the same teams: Heat went 0–2, Spurs went 2–0. The edge compares average margins, as played.
| Opponent | Heat | Spurs | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
 Timberwolves |
L 106–131 home, Oct 21 | W 121–111 home, Oct 31 | SA +35.0 |
 Mavericks |
L 109–113 home, Oct 26 | W 122–106 away, Oct 24 | SA +20.0 |