Thunder vs Mavericks Prediction

Played at Thunder · using games through Nov 2, 2026

35%1

Our pick: Thunder, 65% to win · projected 111–106

Mavericks 68%

Thunder #4 vs Mavericks #1 in our rankings (network centrality).

Thunder 53%

Thunder by 1.2 points here, from 3 comparisons.

Thunder 65%

Projected Thunder 111, Mavericks 106 from opponent-adjusted points per possession and pace.

Thunder vs Mavericks head to head this season

Against the same teams: Thunder went 1–1, Mavericks went 1–2. The edge compares average margins, adjusted 2 points for home court.

Opponent	Thunder	Mavericks	Edge
Spurs	W 116–104 away, Oct 20	L 106–122 home, Oct 24	OKC +32.0
Rockets	L 98–119 away, Oct 31	L 110–128 away, Oct 21 W 116–111 home, Oct 30	DAL +12.5