Our rankings
Warriors 51%
Thunder #4 vs Warriors #3 in our rankings (network centrality).
Overall: venue ignored · using games through Nov 2, 2026
Our pick: Thunder, 52% to win · projected 111–110
Warriors 51%
Thunder #4 vs Warriors #3 in our rankings (network centrality).
Thunder 51%
Thunder by 0.3 points here, from 3 comparisons.
Thunder 52%
Projected Thunder 111, Warriors 110 from opponent-adjusted points per possession and pace.
Against the same teams: Thunder went 3–0, Warriors went 3–1. The edge compares average margins, as played.