Our rankings
Thunder 94%
Thunder #5 vs Heat #21 in our rankings (network centrality).
Thunder vs Heat Prediction
Overall: venue ignored · using games through Nov 1, 2026
Our pick
Our pick: Thunder, 62% to win · projected 117–113
Common opponents
Heat 87%
Heat by 20.0 points here, from 1 comparison.
Efficiency
Thunder 63%
Projected Thunder 117, Heat 113 from opponent-adjusted points per possession and pace.
Thunder and Heat common opponents · 1
Against the same teams: Thunder went 0–1, Heat went 0–1. The edge compares average margins, as played.
| Opponent | Thunder | Heat | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
 Mavericks |
L 96–120 away, Oct 28 | L 109–113 home, Oct 26 | MIA +20.0 |