Our rankings
Spurs 89%
Spurs #5 vs Heat #24 in our rankings (network centrality).
Spurs vs Heat Prediction
Overall: venue ignored · using games through Nov 2, 2026
Our pick
Our pick: Spurs, 80% to win · projected 125–115
Common opponents
Spurs 96%
Spurs by 27.5 points here, from 2 comparisons.
Efficiency
Spurs 79%
Projected Spurs 125, Heat 115 from opponent-adjusted points per possession and pace.
Spurs and Heat common opponents · 2
Against the same teams: Spurs went 2–0, Heat went 0–2. The edge compares average margins, as played.
| Opponent | Spurs | Heat | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
 Timberwolves |
W 121–111 home, Oct 31 | L 106–131 home, Oct 21 | SA +35.0 |
 Mavericks |
W 122–106 away, Oct 24 | L 109–113 home, Oct 26 | SA +20.0 |