Our rankings
Bears 51%
Bears #11 vs Bills #12 in our rankings (network centrality).
Bears vs Bills Prediction
Overall: venue ignored · using games through Nov 1, 2026
Our pick
Our pick: Bills, 55% to win · projected 27–31
Common opponents
Bears 65%
Bears by 9.0 points here, from 1 comparison.
Efficiency
Bills 58%
Projected Bears 27, Bills 31 from opponent-adjusted points scored and allowed.
Bears and Bills common opponents · 1
Against the same teams: Bears went 1–0, Bills went 0–1. The edge compares average margins, as played.
| Opponent | Bears | Bills | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
 Patriots |
W 30–24 home, Oct 22 | L 26–29 home, Oct 4 | CHI +9.0 |