Our rankings
Cowboys 58%
Cowboys #22 vs Commanders #24 in our rankings (network centrality).
Overall: venue ignored · using games through Nov 2, 2026
Our pick: Cowboys, 58% to win · projected 31–28
Cowboys 58%
Cowboys #22 vs Commanders #24 in our rankings (network centrality).
Cowboys 62%
Cowboys by 6.2 points here, from 3 comparisons.
Cowboys 56%
Projected Cowboys 31, Commanders 28 from opponent-adjusted points scored and allowed.
Against the same teams: Cowboys went 1–1, Commanders went 1–1–1. The edge compares average margins, as played.