Our rankings
Jaguars 93%
Jaguars #1 vs Commanders #24 in our rankings (network centrality).
Overall: venue ignored · using games through Nov 2, 2026
Our pick: Jaguars, 82% to win · projected 32–17
Jaguars 93%
Jaguars #1 vs Commanders #24 in our rankings (network centrality).
Jaguars 87%
Jaguars by 23.3 points here, from 2 comparisons.
Jaguars 81%
Projected Jaguars 32, Commanders 17 from opponent-adjusted points scored and allowed.
Against the same teams: Jaguars went 2–0, Commanders went 1–2. The edge compares average margins, as played.