Our rankings
Patriots 65%
Patriots #2 vs Bills #11 in our rankings (network centrality).
Overall: venue ignored · using games through Nov 2, 2026
Our pick: Patriots, 53% to win · projected 25–26
Patriots 65%
Patriots #2 vs Bills #11 in our rankings (network centrality).
Patriots 75%
Patriots by 14.0 points here, from 2 comparisons.
Bills 53%
Projected Patriots 25, Bills 26 from opponent-adjusted points scored and allowed.
Against the same teams: Patriots went 1–0, Bills went 1–0. The edge compares average margins, as played.
| Opponent | Patriots | Bills | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| W 45–17 home, Oct 11 | W 33–30 away, Oct 18 | NE +25.0 |