Our rankings
Lightning 65%
Ducks #26 vs Lightning #16 in our rankings (network centrality).
Ducks vs Lightning Prediction
Overall: venue ignored · using games through Nov 2, 2026
Our pick
26
Ducks39%
Ducks39%61%16
Lightning
LightningOur pick: Lightning, 61% to win · projected 3.2–3.9
Common opponents
Lightning 65%
Lightning by 1.4 goals here, from 6 comparisons.
Efficiency
Lightning 57%
Projected Ducks 3.2, Lightning 3.9 from opponent-adjusted goals scored and allowed.
Ducks and Lightning common opponents · 6
Against the same teams: Ducks went 3–3, Lightning went 5–2. The edge compares average margins, as played.
| Opponent | Ducks | Lightning | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
 Golden Knights |
W 4–3 away, Oct 2 | W 6–2 away, Oct 20 | TB +3.0 |
 Islanders |
L 2–3 away, Oct 20 | W 5–3 away, Oct 10 | TB +3.0 |
 Canucks |
L 5–6 home, Oct 27 | W 4–2 home, Oct 17 | TB +3.0 |
 Jets |
W 5–1 away, Oct 9 | W 6–4 home, Oct 29 | ANA +2.0 |
 Flyers |
W 5–4 away, Oct 24 | W 4–1 home, Oct 5 | TB +2.0 |
 Rangers |
L 2–5 away, Oct 19 | L 1–5 away, Oct 1 L 1–4 away, Oct 13 |
ANA +0.5 |