Our rankings
Bruins 51%
Bruins #13 vs Lightning #16 in our rankings (network centrality).
Overall: venue ignored · using games through Nov 2, 2026
Our pick: Bruins, 52% to win · projected 3.3–3.2
Bruins 51%
Bruins #13 vs Lightning #16 in our rankings (network centrality).
Bruins 61%
Bruins by 1.0 goals here, from 6 comparisons.
Bruins 51%
Projected Bruins 3.3, Lightning 3.2 from opponent-adjusted goals scored and allowed.
Against the same teams: Bruins went 5–1, Lightning went 4–2. The edge compares average margins, as played.
| Opponent | Bruins | Lightning | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| W 6–0 home, Oct 22 | L 4–5 away, Oct 31 | BOS +7.0 | |
| W 6–1 home, Oct 8 | L 4–5 away, Oct 24 | BOS +6.0 | |
| L 1–4 away, Oct 3 | W 3–2 home, Oct 8 | TB +4.0 | |
| W 3–2 home, Nov 2 | W 6–2 away, Oct 20 | TB +3.0 | |
| W 4–3 away, Oct 2 | W 6–4 home, Oct 29 | TB +1.0 | |
| W 5–1 home, Oct 10 | W 4–1 home, Oct 5 | BOS +1.0 |