Our rankings
Bruins 60%
Bruins #13 vs Lightning #16 in our rankings (network centrality).
Played at Bruins · using games before Nov 3, 2026
Our pick: Bruins, 56% to win · projected 3.4–3.1
Bruins 60%
Bruins #13 vs Lightning #16 in our rankings (network centrality).
Bruins 62%
Bruins by 1.1 goals here, from 6 comparisons.
Bruins 53%
Projected Bruins 3.4, Lightning 3.1 from opponent-adjusted goals scored and allowed.
Against the same teams: Bruins went 5–1, Lightning went 4–2. The edge compares average margins, adjusted 0.15 goals for home ice.
| Opponent | Bruins | Lightning | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| W 6–0 home, Oct 22 | L 4–5 away, Oct 31 | BOS +6.7 | |
| W 6–1 home, Oct 8 | L 4–5 away, Oct 24 | BOS +5.7 | |
| L 1–4 away, Oct 3 | W 3–2 home, Oct 8 | TB +3.7 | |
| W 3–2 home, Nov 2 | W 6–2 away, Oct 20 | TB +3.3 | |
| W 5–1 home, Oct 10 | W 4–1 home, Oct 5 | BOS +1.0 | |
| W 4–3 away, Oct 2 | W 6–4 home, Oct 29 | TB +0.7 |