Flames vs Lightning Prediction

Overall: venue ignored · using games through Nov 2, 2026

55%16

Our pick: Lightning, 55% to win · projected 2.7–3.5

Flames 56%

Flames #7 vs Lightning #16 in our rankings (network centrality).

Lightning 82%

Lightning by 3.3 goals here, from 5 comparisons.

Lightning 60%

Projected Flames 2.7, Lightning 3.5 from opponent-adjusted goals scored and allowed.

Flames and Lightning common opponents · 5

Against the same teams: Flames went 2–6, Lightning went 4–1. The edge compares average margins, as played.

Opponent	Flames	Lightning	Edge
Golden Knights	L 2–6 away, Oct 15	W 6–2 away, Oct 20	TB +8.0
Canucks	L 1–4 away, Oct 3	W 4–2 home, Oct 17	TB +5.0
Kraken	L 1–6 home, Oct 1 L 1–6 away, Oct 4 W 6–2 home, Oct 30	W 4–3 home, Oct 15	TB +3.0
Avalanche	L 3–7 home, Oct 8 L 2–5 away, Oct 31	L 3–6 away, Oct 23	TB +0.5
Wild	W 2–1 home, Oct 22	W 3–2 home, Oct 8	Even