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Stars vs Lightning Prediction

Overall: venue ignored · using games through Nov 2, 2026

Our pick

Our pick: Lightning, 52% to win · projected 3.0–3.0

Our rankings

Lightning 56%

Stars #19 vs Lightning #16 in our rankings (network centrality).

Common opponents

Stars 58%

Stars by 0.8 goals here, from 4 comparisons.

Efficiency

Stars 50%

Projected Stars 3.0, Lightning 3.0 from opponent-adjusted goals scored and allowed.

Stars and Lightning common opponents · 4

Against the same teams: Stars went 3–2, Lightning went 2–2. The edge compares average margins, as played.

OpponentStarsLightningEdge
Avalanche L 2–3 home, Oct 13
W 3–2 away, Oct 14
L 3–6 away, Oct 23 DAL +3.0
Jets W 3–2 home, Oct 22 W 6–4 home, Oct 29 TB +1.0
Islanders W 6–3 home, Oct 25 W 5–3 away, Oct 10 DAL +1.0
Predators L 1–2 away, Oct 3 L 4–5 away, Oct 31 Even