Our rankings
Maple Leafs 66%
Stars #19 vs Maple Leafs #3 in our rankings (network centrality).
Overall: venue ignored · using games through Nov 2, 2026
Our pick: Maple Leafs, 54% to win · projected 3.3–3.0
Maple Leafs 66%
Stars #19 vs Maple Leafs #3 in our rankings (network centrality).
Stars 63%
Stars by 1.2 goals here, from 6 comparisons.
Stars 53%
Projected Stars 3.3, Maple Leafs 3.0 from opponent-adjusted goals scored and allowed.
Against the same teams: Stars went 5–2, Maple Leafs went 4–2. The edge compares average margins, as played.
| Opponent | Stars | Maple Leafs | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| W 6–3 home, Oct 25 | L 1–4 home, Oct 17 | DAL +6.0 | |
| W 4–0 away, Oct 8 | L 4–5 home, Oct 15 | DAL +5.0 | |
| W 5–0 home, Oct 5 | W 3–1 home, Oct 19 | DAL +3.0 | |
| L 2–3 home, Oct 13 W 3–2 away, Oct 14 |
W 6–3 away, Oct 10 | TOR +3.0 | |
| L 1–2 away, Oct 3 | W 5–4 home, Oct 6 | TOR +2.0 | |
| W 3–1 home, Oct 31 | W 6–2 away, Oct 20 | TOR +2.0 |