Our rankings
Capitals 63%
Stars #19 vs Capitals #4 in our rankings (network centrality).
Overall: venue ignored · using games through Nov 2, 2026
Our pick: Capitals, 56% to win · projected 3.0–2.9
Capitals 63%
Stars #19 vs Capitals #4 in our rankings (network centrality).
Capitals 74%
Capitals by 2.4 goals here, from 5 comparisons.
Stars 52%
Projected Stars 3.0, Capitals 2.9 from opponent-adjusted goals scored and allowed.
Against the same teams: Stars went 1–4, Capitals went 5–0. The edge compares average margins, as played.
| Opponent | Stars | Capitals | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| L 1–5 home, Oct 27 | W 4–2 home, Oct 17 | WSH +6.0 | |
| L 2–5 home, Oct 29 | W 5–4 home, Oct 14 | WSH +4.0 | |
| W 4–0 away, Oct 8 | W 4–3 home, Oct 24 | DAL +3.0 | |
| L 1–2 away, Oct 10 | W 5–3 home, Oct 7 | WSH +3.0 | |
| L 1–2 away, Oct 3 | W 4–3 away, Oct 29 | WSH +2.0 |