Our rankings
Lightning 65%
Red Wings #27 vs Lightning #14 in our rankings (network centrality).
Overall: venue ignored · using games through Nov 1, 2026
Our pick: Lightning, 60% to win · projected 2.9–3.5
Lightning 65%
Red Wings #27 vs Lightning #14 in our rankings (network centrality).
Lightning 62%
Lightning by 1.1 goals here, from 5 comparisons.
Lightning 56%
Projected Red Wings 2.9, Lightning 3.5 from opponent-adjusted goals scored and allowed.
Against the same teams: Red Wings went 2–4, Lightning went 4–2. The edge compares average margins, as played.
| Opponent | Red Wings | Lightning | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| L 2–3 home, Oct 4 | W 6–4 home, Oct 29 | TB +3.0 | |
| L 3–6 home, Oct 9 L 3–4 away, Oct 20 |
W 4–3 home, Oct 15 | TB +3.0 | |
| W 2–1 home, Oct 15 | W 4–1 home, Oct 5 | TB +2.0 | |
| L 0–2 home, Oct 2 | L 1–5 away, Oct 1 L 1–4 away, Oct 13 |
DET +1.5 | |
| W 5–2 away, Oct 22 | W 4–2 home, Oct 17 | DET +1.0 |