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Red Wings vs Lightning Prediction

Overall: venue ignored · using games through Nov 1, 2026

Our pick

Our pick: Lightning, 60% to win · projected 2.9–3.5

Our rankings

Lightning 65%

Red Wings #27 vs Lightning #14 in our rankings (network centrality).

Common opponents

Lightning 62%

Lightning by 1.1 goals here, from 5 comparisons.

Efficiency

Lightning 56%

Projected Red Wings 2.9, Lightning 3.5 from opponent-adjusted goals scored and allowed.

Red Wings and Lightning common opponents · 5

Against the same teams: Red Wings went 2–4, Lightning went 4–2. The edge compares average margins, as played.

OpponentRed WingsLightningEdge
Jets L 2–3 home, Oct 4 W 6–4 home, Oct 29 TB +3.0
Kraken L 3–6 home, Oct 9
L 3–4 away, Oct 20
W 4–3 home, Oct 15 TB +3.0
Flyers W 2–1 home, Oct 15 W 4–1 home, Oct 5 TB +2.0
Rangers L 0–2 home, Oct 2 L 1–5 away, Oct 1
L 1–4 away, Oct 13
DET +1.5
Canucks W 5–2 away, Oct 22 W 4–2 home, Oct 17 DET +1.0