Our rankings
Maple Leafs 71%
Red Wings #22 vs Maple Leafs #3 in our rankings (network centrality).
Overall: venue ignored · using games through Nov 2, 2026
Our pick: Maple Leafs, 61% to win · projected 3.3–3.5
Maple Leafs 71%
Red Wings #22 vs Maple Leafs #3 in our rankings (network centrality).
Maple Leafs 58%
Maple Leafs by 0.7 goals here, from 7 comparisons.
Maple Leafs 52%
Projected Red Wings 3.3, Maple Leafs 3.5 from opponent-adjusted goals scored and allowed.
Against the same teams: Red Wings went 4–4, Maple Leafs went 4–3. The edge compares average margins, as played.
| Opponent | Red Wings | Maple Leafs | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| W 4–3 away, Oct 26 | W 7–2 away, Oct 24 | TOR +4.0 | |
| L 0–2 home, Oct 2 | W 5–4 home, Oct 22 | TOR +3.0 | |
| W 5–3 home, Oct 6 | L 2–3 home, Oct 3 | DET +3.0 | |
| L 3–6 home, Oct 9 L 3–4 away, Oct 20 |
L 4–5 away, Oct 28 | TOR +1.0 | |
| W 4–3 home, Oct 17 | W 3–1 home, Oct 19 | TOR +1.0 | |
| W 5–2 away, Oct 22 | W 4–2 away, Oct 31 | DET +1.0 | |
| L 1–4 away, Oct 24 | L 2–5 away, Oct 26 | Even |