Our rankings
Oilers 65%
Oilers #1 vs Lightning #16 in our rankings (network centrality).
Oilers vs Lightning Prediction
Overall: venue ignored · using games through Nov 2, 2026
Our pick
1
Oilers59%
Oilers59%41%16
Lightning
LightningOur pick: Oilers, 59% to win · projected 3.5–3.3
Common opponents
Oilers 70%
Oilers by 1.9 goals here, from 6 comparisons.
Efficiency
Oilers 53%
Projected Oilers 3.5, Lightning 3.3 from opponent-adjusted goals scored and allowed.
Oilers and Lightning common opponents · 6
Against the same teams: Oilers went 6–1, Lightning went 4–3. The edge compares average margins, as played.
| Opponent | Oilers | Lightning | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
 Rangers |
W 4–1 away, Nov 1 | L 1–5 away, Oct 1 L 1–4 away, Oct 13 |
EDM +6.5 |
 Mammoth |
L 2–4 home, Oct 15 W 6–2 away, Oct 17 |
L 4–5 away, Oct 24 | EDM +2.0 |
 Islanders |
W 4–0 away, Oct 31 | W 5–3 away, Oct 10 | EDM +2.0 |
 Kraken |
W 3–1 home, Oct 3 | W 4–3 home, Oct 15 | EDM +1.0 |
 Canucks |
W 9–7 away, Oct 1 | W 4–2 home, Oct 17 | Even |
 Wild |
W 4–3 home, Oct 20 | W 3–2 home, Oct 8 | Even |