Our rankings
Lightning 61%
Kings #21 vs Lightning #16 in our rankings (network centrality).
Kings vs Lightning Prediction
Overall: venue ignored · using games through Nov 2, 2026
Our pick
21
Kings42%
Kings42%58%16
Lightning
LightningOur pick: Lightning, 58% to win · projected 2.8–3.4
Common opponents
Kings 54%
Kings by 0.4 goals here, from 4 comparisons.
Efficiency
Lightning 56%
Projected Kings 2.8, Lightning 3.4 from opponent-adjusted goals scored and allowed.
Kings and Lightning common opponents · 4
Against the same teams: Kings went 3–1, Lightning went 3–2. The edge compares average margins, as played.
| Opponent | Kings | Lightning | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
 Rangers |
W 6–3 away, Oct 26 | L 1–5 away, Oct 1 L 1–4 away, Oct 13 |
LA +6.5 |
 Golden Knights |
L 1–2 away, Oct 10 | W 6–2 away, Oct 20 | TB +5.0 |
 Capitals |
W 5–2 away, Oct 20 | W 3–1 home, Oct 3 | LA +1.0 |
 Islanders |
W 3–2 away, Oct 22 | W 5–3 away, Oct 10 | TB +1.0 |