Canadiens vs Lightning Prediction

Overall: venue ignored · using games through Nov 2, 2026

58%16

Our pick: Lightning, 58% to win · projected 3.3–3.4

Lightning 64%

Canadiens #23 vs Lightning #16 in our rankings (network centrality).

Lightning 70%

Lightning by 2.0 goals here, from 3 comparisons.

Lightning 51%

Projected Canadiens 3.3, Lightning 3.4 from opponent-adjusted goals scored and allowed.

Canadiens and Lightning common opponents · 3

Against the same teams: Canadiens went 1–2, Lightning went 2–1. The edge compares average margins, as played.

Opponent	Canadiens	Lightning	Edge
Capitals	L 4–5 away, Oct 14	W 3–1 home, Oct 3	TB +3.0
Predators	L 2–5 home, Oct 8	L 4–5 away, Oct 31	TB +2.0
Jets	W 2–1 away, Oct 25	W 6–4 home, Oct 29	TB +1.0