Our rankings
Devils 52%
Devils #10 vs Lightning #16 in our rankings (network centrality).
Overall: venue ignored · using games through Nov 2, 2026
Toss-up: Lightning by a hair (50.5%) · projected 3.1–3.3
Devils 52%
Devils #10 vs Lightning #16 in our rankings (network centrality).
Lightning 55%
Lightning by 0.4 goals here, from 8 comparisons.
Lightning 52%
Projected Devils 3.1, Lightning 3.3 from opponent-adjusted goals scored and allowed.
Against the same teams: Devils went 5–4, Lightning went 5–4. The edge compares average margins, as played.
| Opponent | Devils | Lightning | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| W 7–1 home, Oct 15 | L 1–5 away, Oct 1 L 1–4 away, Oct 13 |
NJ +9.5 | |
| L 0–6 away, Oct 3 | W 5–3 away, Oct 10 | TB +8.0 | |
| L 2–4 away, Oct 17 | W 3–1 home, Oct 3 | TB +4.0 | |
| W 3–2 home, Oct 1 | W 4–1 home, Oct 5 | TB +2.0 | |
| W 4–3 home, Oct 20 L 2–5 away, Oct 28 |
L 3–6 away, Oct 23 | NJ +2.0 | |
| L 3–5 home, Oct 6 | L 4–5 away, Oct 24 | TB +1.0 | |
| W 4–1 home, Oct 10 | W 4–2 home, Oct 17 | NJ +1.0 | |
| W 5–2 away, Oct 30 | W 6–2 away, Oct 20 | TB +1.0 |