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Devils vs Lightning Prediction

Overall: venue ignored · using games through Nov 2, 2026

Our pick

Toss-up: Lightning by a hair (50.5%) · projected 3.1–3.3

Our rankings

Devils 52%

Devils #10 vs Lightning #16 in our rankings (network centrality).

Common opponents

Lightning 55%

Lightning by 0.4 goals here, from 8 comparisons.

Efficiency

Lightning 52%

Projected Devils 3.1, Lightning 3.3 from opponent-adjusted goals scored and allowed.

Devils and Lightning common opponents · 8

Against the same teams: Devils went 5–4, Lightning went 5–4. The edge compares average margins, as played.

OpponentDevilsLightningEdge
Rangers W 7–1 home, Oct 15 L 1–5 away, Oct 1
L 1–4 away, Oct 13
NJ +9.5
Islanders L 0–6 away, Oct 3 W 5–3 away, Oct 10 TB +8.0
Capitals L 2–4 away, Oct 17 W 3–1 home, Oct 3 TB +4.0
Flyers W 3–2 home, Oct 1 W 4–1 home, Oct 5 TB +2.0
Avalanche W 4–3 home, Oct 20
L 2–5 away, Oct 28
L 3–6 away, Oct 23 NJ +2.0
Mammoth L 3–5 home, Oct 6 L 4–5 away, Oct 24 TB +1.0
Canucks W 4–1 home, Oct 10 W 4–2 home, Oct 17 NJ +1.0
Golden Knights W 5–2 away, Oct 30 W 6–2 away, Oct 20 TB +1.0