Islanders vs Lightning Prediction

Overall: venue ignored · using games through Nov 2, 2026

53%16

Our pick: Lightning, 53% to win · projected 3.0–3.3

Lightning 51%

Islanders #18 vs Lightning #16 in our rankings (network centrality).

Lightning 51%

Lightning by 0.1 goals here, from 5 comparisons.

Lightning 54%

Projected Islanders 3.0, Lightning 3.3 from opponent-adjusted goals scored and allowed.

Islanders vs Lightning head to head this season

Against the same teams: Islanders went 3–1, Lightning went 2–3. The edge compares average margins, as played.

Opponent	Islanders	Lightning	Edge
Predators	W 4–3 away, Oct 27	L 4–5 away, Oct 31	NYI +2.0
Canucks	W 3–2 home, Oct 13	W 4–2 home, Oct 17	TB +1.0
Rangers	L 2–5 away, Oct 6	L 1–5 away, Oct 1 L 1–4 away, Oct 13	NYI +0.5
Wild	W 4–3 away, Oct 29	W 3–2 home, Oct 8	Even