Our rankings
Senators 63%
Senators #5 vs Stars #19 in our rankings (network centrality).
Overall: venue ignored · using games through Nov 2, 2026
Our pick: Senators, 54% to win · projected 2.8–3.1
Senators 63%
Senators #5 vs Stars #19 in our rankings (network centrality).
Senators 55%
Senators by 0.5 goals here, from 6 comparisons.
Stars 53%
Projected Senators 2.8, Stars 3.1 from opponent-adjusted goals scored and allowed.
Against the same teams: Senators went 5–2, Stars went 3–3. The edge compares average margins, as played.
| Opponent | Senators | Stars | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| W 4–1 away, Oct 12 | L 1–5 home, Oct 27 | OTT +7.0 | |
| L 2–6 home, Oct 22 W 5–1 away, Oct 31 |
W 5–0 home, Oct 5 | DAL +5.0 | |
| W 4–1 away, Oct 5 | W 3–2 home, Oct 20 | OTT +2.0 | |
| W 3–2 home, Oct 10 | L 1–2 away, Oct 3 | OTT +2.0 | |
| W 2–1 home, Oct 15 | W 6–3 home, Oct 25 | DAL +2.0 | |
| L 2–7 home, Oct 13 | L 0–4 home, Oct 2 | DAL +1.0 |