Our rankings
Maple Leafs 54%
Senators #5 vs Maple Leafs #3 in our rankings (network centrality).
Senators vs Maple Leafs Prediction
Overall: venue ignored · using games through Nov 2, 2026
Our pick
5
Senators49%
Senators49%51%3
Maple Leafs
Maple LeafsOur pick: Maple Leafs, 51% to win · projected 3.5–3.5
Common opponents
Senators 55%
Senators by 0.5 goals here, from 6 comparisons.
Efficiency
Senators 50%
Projected Senators 3.5, Maple Leafs 3.5 from opponent-adjusted goals scored and allowed.
Senators vs Maple Leafs head to head this season
- Senators W 3–2 away, Oct 3
Senators and Maple Leafs common opponents · 5
Against the same teams: Senators went 4–2, Maple Leafs went 3–2. The edge compares average margins, as played.
| Opponent | Senators | Maple Leafs | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
 Islanders |
W 2–1 home, Oct 15 | L 1–4 home, Oct 17 | OTT +4.0 |
 Sharks |
L 2–6 home, Oct 22 W 5–1 away, Oct 31 |
W 3–1 home, Oct 19 | TOR +2.0 |
 Rangers |
W 7–4 home, Oct 24 | W 5–4 home, Oct 22 | OTT +2.0 |
 Golden Knights |
L 1–4 away, Oct 27 | L 3–4 away, Oct 8 | TOR +2.0 |
 Predators |
W 3–2 home, Oct 10 | W 5–4 home, Oct 6 | Even |