Our rankings
Capitals 51%
Senators #5 vs Capitals #4 in our rankings (network centrality).
Senators vs Capitals Prediction
Overall: venue ignored · using games through Nov 2, 2026
Our pick
Toss-up: Capitals by a hair (50.7%) · projected 3.2–3.3
Common opponents
Senators 51%
Senators by 0.1 goals here, from 5 comparisons.
Efficiency
Capitals 51%
Projected Senators 3.2, Capitals 3.3 from opponent-adjusted goals scored and allowed.
Senators and Capitals common opponents · 5
Against the same teams: Senators went 4–2, Capitals went 4–1. The edge compares average margins, as played.
| Opponent | Senators | Capitals | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
 Flyers |
W 2–1 home, Oct 8 L 1–3 away, Oct 17 |
W 5–2 home, Oct 28 | WSH +3.5 |
 Kings |
L 5–6 away, Oct 29 | L 2–5 home, Oct 20 | OTT +2.0 |
 Devils |
W 4–1 away, Oct 12 | W 4–2 home, Oct 17 | OTT +1.0 |
 Rangers |
W 7–4 home, Oct 24 | W 3–1 home, Oct 9 | OTT +1.0 |
 Predators |
W 3–2 home, Oct 10 | W 4–3 away, Oct 29 | Even |