Our rankings
Maple Leafs 82%
Penguins #29 vs Maple Leafs #3 in our rankings (network centrality).
Overall: venue ignored · using games through Nov 2, 2026
Our pick: Maple Leafs, 67% to win · projected 3.5–3.7
Maple Leafs 82%
Penguins #29 vs Maple Leafs #3 in our rankings (network centrality).
Maple Leafs 78%
Maple Leafs by 2.8 goals here, from 5 comparisons.
Maple Leafs 53%
Projected Penguins 3.5, Maple Leafs 3.7 from opponent-adjusted goals scored and allowed.
Against the same teams: Penguins went 1–5, Maple Leafs went 3–2. The edge compares average margins, as played.
| Opponent | Penguins | Maple Leafs | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| L 2–5 away, Oct 16 | W 6–3 away, Oct 10 | TOR +6.0 | |
| L 2–3 away, Oct 9 | W 6–2 away, Oct 20 | TOR +5.0 | |
| L 2–6 away, Oct 17 | L 3–4 away, Oct 8 | TOR +3.0 | |
| L 4–5 away, Oct 19 L 3–4 home, Oct 29 |
L 4–5 away, Oct 13 | Even | |
| W 3–2 home, Oct 24 | W 5–4 home, Oct 6 | Even |