Our rankings
Kraken 51%
Kraken #15 vs Lightning #16 in our rankings (network centrality).
Kraken vs Lightning Prediction
Overall: venue ignored · using games through Nov 2, 2026
Our pick
15
Kraken46%
Kraken46%54%16
Lightning
LightningOur pick: Lightning, 54% to win · projected 3.2–3.7
Common opponents
Lightning 72%
Lightning by 2.2 goals here, from 6 comparisons.
Efficiency
Lightning 56%
Projected Kraken 3.2, Lightning 3.7 from opponent-adjusted goals scored and allowed.
Kraken vs Lightning head to head this season
- Kraken L 3–4 away, Oct 15
Kraken and Lightning common opponents · 5
Against the same teams: Kraken went 3–2, Lightning went 4–1. The edge compares average margins, as played.
| Opponent | Kraken | Lightning | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
 Golden Knights |
L 2–6 home, Oct 6 | W 6–2 away, Oct 20 | TB +8.0 |
 Wild |
L 1–5 home, Oct 24 | W 3–2 home, Oct 8 | TB +5.0 |
 Mammoth |
W 5–3 home, Oct 22 | L 4–5 away, Oct 24 | SEA +3.0 |
 Flyers |
W 3–2 away, Oct 13 | W 4–1 home, Oct 5 | TB +2.0 |
 Capitals |
W 5–3 away, Oct 11 | W 3–1 home, Oct 3 | Even |