Our rankings
Blues 51%
Blues #12 vs Lightning #16 in our rankings (network centrality).
Blues vs Lightning Prediction
Overall: venue ignored · using games through Nov 2, 2026
Our pick
12
Blues47%
Blues47%53%16
Lightning
LightningOur pick: Lightning, 53% to win · projected 3.1–3.4
Common opponents
Lightning 65%
Lightning by 1.4 goals here, from 5 comparisons.
Efficiency
Lightning 54%
Projected Blues 3.1, Lightning 3.4 from opponent-adjusted goals scored and allowed.
Blues and Lightning common opponents · 5
Against the same teams: Blues went 2–3, Lightning went 3–2. The edge compares average margins, as played.
| Opponent | Blues | Lightning | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
 Avalanche |
L 1–6 away, Oct 3 | L 3–6 away, Oct 23 | TB +2.0 |
 Wild |
L 4–5 away, Oct 15 | W 3–2 home, Oct 8 | TB +2.0 |
 Predators |
L 2–5 away, Oct 17 | L 4–5 away, Oct 31 | TB +2.0 |
 Jets |
W 2–1 home, Oct 20 | W 6–4 home, Oct 29 | TB +1.0 |
 Golden Knights |
W 6–2 home, Oct 22 | W 6–2 away, Oct 20 | Even |