Our rankings
Lightning 65%
Lightning #16 vs Ducks #26 in our rankings (network centrality).
Overall: venue ignored · using games through Nov 2, 2026
Our pick: Lightning, 61% to win · projected 3.9–3.2
Lightning 65%
Lightning #16 vs Ducks #26 in our rankings (network centrality).
Lightning 65%
Lightning by 1.4 goals here, from 6 comparisons.
Lightning 57%
Projected Lightning 3.9, Ducks 3.2 from opponent-adjusted goals scored and allowed.
Against the same teams: Lightning went 5–2, Ducks went 3–3. The edge compares average margins, as played.
| Opponent | Lightning | Ducks | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| W 5–3 away, Oct 10 | L 2–3 away, Oct 20 | TB +3.0 | |
| W 4–2 home, Oct 17 | L 5–6 home, Oct 27 | TB +3.0 | |
| W 6–2 away, Oct 20 | W 4–3 away, Oct 2 | TB +3.0 | |
| W 4–1 home, Oct 5 | W 5–4 away, Oct 24 | TB +2.0 | |
| W 6–4 home, Oct 29 | W 5–1 away, Oct 9 | ANA +2.0 | |
| L 1–5 away, Oct 1 L 1–4 away, Oct 13 |
L 2–5 away, Oct 19 | ANA +0.5 |