Lightning vs Flames Prediction

Overall: venue ignored · using games through Nov 2, 2026

45%7

Our pick: Lightning, 55% to win · projected 3.5–2.7

Flames 56%

Lightning #16 vs Flames #7 in our rankings (network centrality).

Lightning 82%

Lightning by 3.3 goals here, from 5 comparisons.

Lightning 60%

Projected Lightning 3.5, Flames 2.7 from opponent-adjusted goals scored and allowed.

Lightning and Flames common opponents · 5

Against the same teams: Lightning went 4–1, Flames went 2–6. The edge compares average margins, as played.

Opponent	Lightning	Flames	Edge
Golden Knights	W 6–2 away, Oct 20	L 2–6 away, Oct 15	TB +8.0
Canucks	W 4–2 home, Oct 17	L 1–4 away, Oct 3	TB +5.0
Kraken	W 4–3 home, Oct 15	L 1–6 home, Oct 1 L 1–6 away, Oct 4 W 6–2 home, Oct 30	TB +3.0
Avalanche	L 3–6 away, Oct 23	L 3–7 home, Oct 8 L 2–5 away, Oct 31	TB +0.5
Wild	W 3–2 home, Oct 8	W 2–1 home, Oct 22	Even