Lightning vs Avalanche Prediction

Overall: venue ignored · using games through Nov 1, 2026

52%7

Our pick: Avalanche, 52% to win · projected 3.3–3.5

Avalanche 54%

Lightning #14 vs Avalanche #7 in our rankings (network centrality).

Lightning 68%

Lightning by 1.8 goals here, from 4 comparisons.

Avalanche 53%

Projected Lightning 3.3, Avalanche 3.5 from opponent-adjusted goals scored and allowed.

Lightning vs Avalanche head to head this season

Against the same teams: Lightning went 2–1, Avalanche went 0–3. The edge compares average margins, as played.

Opponent	Lightning	Avalanche	Edge
Flyers	W 4–1 home, Oct 5	L 2–3 away, Oct 19	TB +4.0
Jets	W 6–4 home, Oct 29	L 2–3 away, Oct 7	TB +3.0
Predators	L 4–5 away, Oct 31	L 2–6 away, Oct 25	TB +3.0