Our rankings
Lightning 56%
Lightning #16 vs Stars #19 in our rankings (network centrality).
Overall: venue ignored · using games through Nov 2, 2026
Our pick: Lightning, 52% to win · projected 3.0–3.0
Lightning 56%
Lightning #16 vs Stars #19 in our rankings (network centrality).
Stars 58%
Stars by 0.8 goals here, from 4 comparisons.
Stars 50%
Projected Lightning 3.0, Stars 3.0 from opponent-adjusted goals scored and allowed.
Against the same teams: Lightning went 2–2, Stars went 3–2. The edge compares average margins, as played.