Our rankings
Lightning 65%
Lightning #14 vs Red Wings #27 in our rankings (network centrality).
Overall: venue ignored · using games through Nov 1, 2026
Our pick: Lightning, 60% to win · projected 3.5–2.9
Lightning 65%
Lightning #14 vs Red Wings #27 in our rankings (network centrality).
Lightning 62%
Lightning by 1.1 goals here, from 5 comparisons.
Lightning 56%
Projected Lightning 3.5, Red Wings 2.9 from opponent-adjusted goals scored and allowed.
Against the same teams: Lightning went 4–2, Red Wings went 2–4. The edge compares average margins, as played.
| Opponent | Lightning | Red Wings | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| W 4–3 home, Oct 15 | L 3–6 home, Oct 9 L 3–4 away, Oct 20 |
TB +3.0 | |
| W 6–4 home, Oct 29 | L 2–3 home, Oct 4 | TB +3.0 | |
| W 4–1 home, Oct 5 | W 2–1 home, Oct 15 | TB +2.0 | |
| L 1–5 away, Oct 1 L 1–4 away, Oct 13 |
L 0–2 home, Oct 2 | DET +1.5 | |
| W 4–2 home, Oct 17 | W 5–2 away, Oct 22 | DET +1.0 |